In 2009, the economy of the petroleum and chemical industry picked up

To cope with the international financial crisis and realize the strategic goal of “guarantee growth, expand domestic demand, and adjust structure”, the Party Central Committee and the State Council formulated and implemented a plan for expanding domestic demand and promoting economic growth in a timely manner, and promulgated the “Planning and Revitalization Plan for the Petrochemical Industry”. In 2009, the economy of the oil and chemical industry stabilized and rebounded, and the overall development of the economy was good.

Industry-wide industrial added value achieves double-digit growth

In 2009, industry industrial added value accounted for 12% of the national industrial added value, an increase of 10.13% over the previous year. In terms of time, the growth rate was 6.6% at the beginning of the year, with an increase of 7.7% in the first half of the year and a growth of 9.06% in the first three quarters, indicating a gradual growth trend. From the perspective of the industry, the petroleum and petrochemical industry increased by 4.5% from the previous year, and the chemical industry increased by 15.9%. .

In 2009, there were 34,600 enterprises above designated size in the industry; total output value was 6.63 trillion yuan, an increase of 0.3% over the previous year; sales value was 6.35 trillion yuan, an increase of 0.15%.

Most products have a recoverable increase in output

After August 2009, most products showed a recovery growth. The tracked output of 62 (classes) key petrochemical products showed that in 2009, there were 58 (categories) products that accounted for 93.5% of the increase over the previous year. In particular, the growth rate of products such as refined oil, chemical fertilizers, basic chemical raw materials, synthetic materials, and tires was significantly faster than that of the previous year. The annual crude oil output was 189.5 million tons, a slight decrease of 0.4% over the previous year; natural gas production was 83 billion cubic meters, an increase of 8% over the previous year; crude oil processing volume was 375 million tons, an increase of 7.9%, and the growth rate was 4.2% faster than the previous year. The output of refined oil was 228 million tons, an increase of 9.4%, an acceleration of 2.5 percentage points; the production of chemical fertilizer was 67.06 million tons, an increase of 16.3%, an acceleration of 14.9 percentage points; and the ethylene production exceeded 10 million tons, reaching 10.7 million tons, an increase of 8.3%. Accelerate 10.4 percentage points. In addition, the output of pesticides increased by 12.3%; sulfuric acid increased by 18.7%; caustic soda and soda ash increased by 8.6% and 8.7% respectively; synthetic resin increased by 11.8%; synthetic fiber monomers and polymers increased by 10.3%; tire tires increased by 18.1%.

Market demand continues to rise

In 2009, the apparent consumption of major domestic petrochemical products continued to rise. From January to December, the apparent consumption of crude oil was 388 million tons, which was a year-on-year increase of 6.2%, which was approximately 3 percentage points higher than that from January to September. The apparent consumption of ethylene reached 11.656 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 10.1%, and was 1 to 9 The monthly acceleration of 7.1 percentage points; In addition, apparent consumption of sulfuric acid increased by 21.4%, caustic soda growth by 13.4%, soda ash by 8.9%, methanol by 35.9%, synthetic resin by 19.2%, synthetic fiber polymer by 16.6%, and chemical fertilizer by 14.3%. The tires grew by 44.8%.

Product prices vary

In 2009, the overall price level of the oil and chemical industry decreased by 13.2% over the previous year. However, the price trends of various products are significantly different. The organic raw materials and synthetic materials market showed a clear trend of warming; the prices of chemical fertilizers and inorganic raw materials continued to slump.

The fertilizer market continues to be sluggish. In 2009, the chemical fertilizer market showed a general downturn, and the prices of major chemical fertilizers were operating at low levels for a long time. The price data showed that the average annual price of urea was 1,735 yuan/ton, which was a 15% decrease from the previous year; the average price of diammonium phosphate was 2,703 yuan/ton, which was a drop of 30.6% compared with the previous year; the average price of domestically produced potassium chloride was 3,493 yuan/year. Tons, up by 1.2% over the previous year; the average price of 45% chlorine-based compound fertilizer was RMB 2228/ton, a decrease of 24.6% from the previous year.

The basic chemical raw material market is polarized. In 2009, the basic chemical raw material market showed a polarization trend. Although the inorganic chemical raw materials market had better performance at the end of the year, the weaknesses of the whole year were fully displayed. The annual average price of sulfuric acid market was 313 yuan/ton, a decrease of 75.7% over the previous year and 37.4% from the beginning of the year; the average annual price of soda ash was 1231 yuan/ton, down 36.8% from the previous year and 1.5% from the beginning of the year; the average price of calcium carbide RMB 3013/ton, a decrease of 15.2% from the previous year and a decrease of 5.3% from the beginning of the year. The overall market for organic chemical raw materials showed a strong upward trend. The average price of propylene for the whole year was 7840 yuan/ton, which was 35.5% lower than that of the previous year and 41% higher than that at the beginning of the year; the average annual price of pure benzene was 5,100 yuan/ton, which was 39.5% lower than the previous year and 65.6% higher than that at the beginning of the year; The average annual price was 7,696 yuan/ton, which was 29.5% lower than that of the previous year and 55.5% higher than that at the beginning of the year; the annual average price of methanol was 1,980 yuan/ton, which was 38.6% lower than the previous year.

The synthetic material market is picking up. In 2009, the overall market price of synthetic materials showed a clear rebound. The average annual high-density polyethylene price was 10,672 yuan/ton, which was 18% lower than the previous year and 26.3% higher than the beginning of the year; the average annual price of polypropylene was 9,451 yuan/ton, which was 23.5% lower than the previous year and 26% higher than the beginning of the year; The average price of benzene rubber was 12,718 yuan/ton, a decrease of 33.5% over the previous year and 18.3% over the beginning of the year; the average annual price of caprolactam was 14,817 yuan/ton, a decrease of 30.1% over the previous year and 36% over the beginning of the year.

Industry efficiency has improved significantly

In 2009, the recovery of industry profits gradually accelerated. Among them, the growth of the chemical industry and the turnaround of the refining industry were two bright spots. From January to November, the industry's total profit was RMB 419.063 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 5.2%, a decrease of 14.5 percentage points from January to August; the main business revenue was RMB 5.81 trillion, a year-on-year decrease of 3.3%, and the rate of decrease was from January to August. The reduction was 7 percentage points; the loss of loss-making enterprises was 47.791 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 77.5%.

From the perspective of full-year profit trend, it fell 56.4% year-on-year from January to February, down 17.9% from March to May, down 2.2% from June to August, and up 68% from September to November. It is estimated that the profit for 2009 will be around 500 billion yuan, a decrease of about 3%.

In terms of sub-industries, the chemical industry realized profits of 1.717846 billion yuan, up 13.5% over the previous year; the oil refining industry realized profits of 72.879 billion yuan, compared with losses of 145.652 billion yuan in the same period of last year; the oil and gas exploration industry realized profits of 168.652 billion yuan, down from the previous year. 60.7%.

Industry investment growth slows down

In 2009, the industry's investment in fixed assets was 1.01 trillion yuan, an increase of 12.9% over the previous year and a decrease of 14.2 percentage points, which was lower than the national fixed asset investment over the same period, with an average increase of 17.2 percentage points. In terms of different industries, the investment in the chemical industry increased by 24.3% and continued to maintain rapid growth. Among them, the phosphate fertilizer industry increased by 67.8%, the pesticide industry increased by 39.1%, the rubber product industry increased by 34.8%, the inorganic base increased by 33.7%, the paint and pigments industry increased by 32.1%, and the specialty chemical manufacturing increased by 31.9%. The investment in the oil and gas exploration industry and the oil refining industry fell by 2.3% and 9.3% respectively over the previous year. From the point of view of growth rate, industry investment has been slowing down.

Foreign trade has gradually stabilized

In 2009, the total import and export volume of the industry was 327.07 billion U.S. dollars, a decrease of 23.2% over the previous year, and the decrease was 9.6 percentage points lower than the previous three quarters. The total value of imports for the year was 228.063 billion U.S. dollars, a decrease of 22.6% from the previous year, a decrease of 11.2 percentage points from the previous three quarters, and the total value of exports was 99.008 billion yuan, a decrease of 24.6% from the previous year and 5.6 percentage points from the first three quarters. In general, the decline in the import and export trade of the industry gradually narrowed in 2009, and gradually stabilized, but the decline is still relatively large.

The leading role of leading enterprises has been enhanced, and the development of the central and western regions has accelerated.

In 2009, the five major companies including China Petroleum, Sinopec, CNOOC, Sinochem, and Shaanxi Yanchang recorded 3.12 trillion yuan in main business revenue for the year, a decrease of 5.6% over the previous year; total profit was 268.042 billion yuan, an increase over the previous year. 8%. The five major companies have played a leading role in stabilizing and recovering the entire industry.

In 2009, the pattern of China's petrochemical industry did not undergo major changes, and the center of gravity remained along the eastern coast. However, some industries are shifting from the east to the central and western regions. The total industrial output value of the four provinces of Shandong, Jiangsu, Guangdong, and Liaoning has reached 46.2% of the industry's total output value; the growth rate of the central and western provinces and regions such as Inner Mongolia, Jiangxi, Sichuan, and Hubei is among the highest in the country.

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